Union Bank: Positive US data will boost local market

"The interest rate will remain unchanged, but watch the dollar exchange rate."

“With prices at their current reasonable levels, our outlook remains positive. These received a boost last week by the publication of the positive US economic data, which is providing a tail wind for markets in both Israel and the US, with indices reaching new highs,” writes Union Bank of Israel (TASE: UNON) in its weekly review.

Union Bank repeats its advice to investors not to increase the proportion of their investments in Israeli securities above 50% of their securities portfolio. The other 50% should be diversified across markets overseas.

As to the Bank of Israel interest rate, which currently stands at 4.25%, with a negative differential between the local interest rate and that of the US Federal Reserve, Union Bank says that as a consequence there has so far been no significant increase at all in the shekel-dollar exchange rate. Union Bank expects the interest rate to remain unchanged next month, although attention should be paid to the direction that shekel-dollar trading could take.

The shekel is likely to trade at NIS 4.235-4.27/$ this week. The closest support level for the exchange rate is NIS 4.176/$, while the closest resistance level is NIS 4.26/$.

Published by Globes [online], Israel business news - www.globes.co.il - on February 11, 2007

© Copyright of Globes Publisher Itonut (1983) Ltd. 2007

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